The Samuel Roberts Noble Foundation, Inc.
Managing during Drought

Drought Information: Economics

drought tips

Consider early weaning and preconditioning

Early weaning of calves is a common drought management practice. Removing calves from cows at approximately 300 pounds or 75 days of age decreases cow nutritional requirements and gives producers the ability to stretch limited forage resources. Drought conditions in 2011 are forcing producers to wean calves early; many of which have already marketed at auction. Supply and demand principles are in evidence as an increased supply of calves is decreasing market price. Noble Foundation consultants suggest that early weaning and preconditioning calves for at least 45 days can still result in profit. During preconditioning, calves are vaccinated, de-horned, bull calves are castrated, and all calves are fed for an additional 45 days post-weaning. Calculate your cost of preconditioning prior to retaining ownership of calves. For help with budgeting or developing a feeding program for preconditioned calves, please see Optimizing Weaned Calf Value or call your Noble Foundation consultant.

Take advantage of tax provisions

Producers who sell cattle due to drought should be aware of tax rules allowing for income deferment because of weather-related sales in excess of normal business practices. Producers commonly misinterpret IRS rulings to mean that a natural disaster declaration is required. This is not true in all cases. IRS Code Section 1033(e) allows producers to postpone gain on breeding livestock that were sold in excess of normal due to drought conditions as long as the same class of livestock is replaced within two years. Another option for producers is IRS Code Section 451(e). This section allows for a one-year deferment of income on all classes of livestock sold, but requires a natural disaster declaration. Producers are urged to see Tax Code Offers Some Flexibility During Drought and visit their trusted tax professional.

Shop for feed and hay supplies

Weather reports suggest the drought will persist; therefore, consider having excess feed on hand if you desire to maintain cow numbers throughout the drought.

Deciding how much hay and feed you will need to provide adequate nutrition for your livestock is the easy part; locating it, especially hay, will be the challenge. Feed prices remain volatile and hay supplies are tight. Shop alternative feeds and lock in prices when possible. For more information on shopping alternatives, please see Managing Feed Costs in the August 2011, Ag News and Views.

Hay directories are available through the Noble Foundation; the Oklahoma Department of Agriculture, Food & Forestry; and the Texas Department of Agriculture. However, do not limit yourself to Oklahoma and Texas suppliers. The right deal can overcome shipping costs.

Cull cattle

Sell all open, old or injured cows. It is not economical to maintain these females - particularly when resources such as pasture, feed and hay are costly and in short supply. The immediate advantage to removing animals from the herd is that grazing pressure on pastures will be decreased and less money will be spent on supplemental feed. Additionally, cull cow prices have remained relatively strong. Selling cull cows now can provide immediate assistance for producers who are in a difficult cash flow situation.

Drought may also provide the opportunity to make improvements to your cow herd. Consider tightening up your calving season by selling late calving cows. Calves born later in the calving season are typically lighter weight at weaning and less uniform than the calves born earlier in the calving season. Cull cow marketing reports are available through the Agricultural Marketing Service.

Evaluate cow herd liquidation costs

Many producers may be tempted to liquidate the cow herd during persistent drought conditions. However, before selling the cow herd, compare the cost of maintaining a cow through the drought and winter months to the cost of purchasing replacement females next spring. To do so, calculate the cost of feed and hay on a per-cow basis from now until spring. Add this feed cost to the current value of cows sold. If the sum of feed cost and cow value is greater than the cost of buying cattle next spring, then liquidate the cow herd now and take advantage of tax benefits associated with drought-related sales. If you decide to maintain ownership of the cow herd, be prepared to maintain cow numbers for approximately six to eight months. It is not advantageous to begin feeding cattle through the drought only to sell them in the fall at seasonally low prices.

Factor in water hauling costs

During a drought, water quickly becomes a concern for livestock producers. Hauling water is an alternative for producers whose water source has diminished. However, this is a large, unexpected expense. Refer to the calculations in "liquidating the cow herd" before hauling water, as the choice to keep or sell the cow herd involves similar considerations. When making this decision, the cost of water would be included with feed and hay costs. Again, if the sum of feed, hay, water and cow value is greater than the cost of purchasing cows next spring, then liquidate the cow herd and take advantage of tax benefits associated with drought-related sales.

drought-related articles
Consider These Factors When Deciding on a Feedyard
by Steve Swigert
The following are items that need to be compared and examined when selecting a feedyard: location, reputation, appearance, feed system, management, costs, financing and selling.
Early Weaning Economics
by Dan Childs
The lack of rain, high temperatures, grasshoppers and armyworms had an enormous detrimental effect on any kind of forage and crop production. Many drought management strategies were discussed throughout the summer in an effort for cattlemen to maintain livestock numbers. One of the strategies implemented on the Noble Foundation Red River Demonstration and Research Farm was to early wean the spring born calves on one of the cowherds.
In Drought, Consider the Economics of Options When Dealing With Cattle
by Job Springer
Pastures are quickly burning up due to the heat and dry conditions, resulting in ranchers quickly running out of grazeable pasture that provides the necessary energy, protein, vitamins and minerals. Since the drought is covering such a large area, accessible supplemental hay and available rental pasture is not abundant in nearby areas.
Managing Feed Costs
by Dan Childs
Purchased feed represents the greatest portion of variable costs for cow-calf producers according to the Kansas Farm Management Association. From the middle of June 2010 to the middle of June 2011, the price of corn more than doubled. During the same period, soybean prices increased nearly 50 percent.
Managing Risk in Volatile Times
by Dan Childs
Agriculture input and commodity prices seemed to be on a rollercoaster during the last few months of 2010, with the inclines being longer and more sustained than the short dips down. This left general price levels much higher than forecasts of only a few short months ago.
Optimizing Weaned Calf Value
by Steve Swigert
Cow-calf producers with calves to market in the fall should use the summer months to develop a plan. Specifically, are the calves going to be sold at weaning or are they going to be kept until a later date to make additional income?
Solutions to Turbulent Times for Agricultural Producers
by Job Springer
The stock market is not the only investment that has fallen in value during 2008 - the agricultural commodities markets have, too. Many agricultural producers across the United States are feeling the pinch from falling commodity prices. Because of the current downturn in these markets, it has become more important than ever for agricultural producers to manage their price risks.
State of the 2012 Cattle Industry
by Dan Childs
The cattle industry is experiencing both production and market conditions that are unique and uncommon for the industry. Extreme heat and drought conditions caused double digit percentage declines in beef cattle numbers in Texas and Oklahoma.
Tax Code Offers Some Flexibility During Drought
by Dan Childs
The tax implications of cattle sales caused by a drought are fairly straight-forward. There are two different tax treatments that apply.
Tax Considerations When Buying or Selling a Farm
by Dan Childs
The cost of buying or selling a farm can be overshadowed by decisions that postpone the payment of income taxes.
Tax Implications of Using Risk Management Strategies
by Dustin Oswald
Most of our nation's agricultural producers have experienced significant volatility both in the prices they receive for the commodities they produce and in the prices they pay for inputs.
The Beef Industry in 2012 and Beyond
by Steve Swigert
The future of the beef industry is filled with both opportunities and challenges due to the 2011 drought in the Southern Plains, high price of grains, volatility in the commodity markets and fewer dollars available for research and education.
What Will Cows Cost in the Future?
by Steve Swigert
With the challenges of the drought, the beef cow inventory declined 3.1 percent for an annual inventory of 2011 and prospects for further decline are evident unless changes occur in cow slaughter and heifer retention. With this decline, the 2012 U.S. calf crop stands at 35 million head, the lowest in 60 years.